Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 9:24 AM, 67 voters in 17 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 142,512 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 118,048 - 168,193). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 9:24 AM 2043 c(2.5% = 1532) c(97.5% = 2383)
02 9:24 AM 3379 c(2.5% = 2520) c(97.5% = 3910)
03 9:24 AM 1855 c(2.5% = 1503) c(97.5% = 2344)
04 9:24 AM 1835 c(2.5% = 1499) c(97.5% = 2429)
05 9:24 AM 4621 c(2.5% = 3481) c(97.5% = 5388)
06 9:24 AM 1245 c(2.5% = 1031) c(97.5% = 1528)
07 9:24 AM 988 c(2.5% = 592) c(97.5% = 1879)
08 9:24 AM 4725 c(2.5% = 3531) c(97.5% = 5547)
09 9:24 AM 2454 c(2.5% = 1799) c(97.5% = 2859)
10 9:24 AM 2739 c(2.5% = 2217) c(97.5% = 3428)
11 9:24 AM 1176 c(2.5% = 949) c(97.5% = 1616)
12 9:24 AM 2018 c(2.5% = 1658) c(97.5% = 2598)
13 9:24 AM 1824 c(2.5% = 1494) c(97.5% = 2406)
14 9:24 AM 797 c(2.5% = 665) c(97.5% = 953)
15 9:24 AM 2463 c(2.5% = 1889) c(97.5% = 2849)
16 9:24 AM 966 c(2.5% = 756) c(97.5% = 1382)
17 9:24 AM 2258 c(2.5% = 1845) c(97.5% = 2916)
18 9:24 AM 1851 c(2.5% = 1521) c(97.5% = 2141)
19 9:24 AM 822 c(2.5% = 556) c(97.5% = 1440)
20 9:24 AM 801 c(2.5% = 614) c(97.5% = 1127)
21 9:24 AM 5266 c(2.5% = 4177) c(97.5% = 6306)
22 9:24 AM 3103 c(2.5% = 2396) c(97.5% = 3776)
23 9:24 AM 1619 c(2.5% = 1239) c(97.5% = 2085)
24 9:24 AM 1319 c(2.5% = 1071) c(97.5% = 1605)
25 9:24 AM 1337 c(2.5% = 923) c(97.5% = 1735)
26 9:24 AM 2011 c(2.5% = 1552) c(97.5% = 2459)
27 9:24 AM 2016 c(2.5% = 1455) c(97.5% = 2643)
28 9:24 AM 1034 c(2.5% = 809) c(97.5% = 1488)
29 9:24 AM 1056 c(2.5% = 874) c(97.5% = 1268)
30 9:24 AM 2148 c(2.5% = 1703) c(97.5% = 2414)
31 9:24 AM 1744 c(2.5% = 1305) c(97.5% = 1964)
32 9:24 AM 1650 c(2.5% = 1289) c(97.5% = 2338)
33 9:24 AM 1195 c(2.5% = 770) c(97.5% = 2037)
34 9:24 AM 3869 c(2.5% = 3195) c(97.5% = 4628)
35 9:24 AM 2369 c(2.5% = 1777) c(97.5% = 3099)
36 9:24 AM 3037 c(2.5% = 2510) c(97.5% = 3501)
37 9:24 AM 1068 c(2.5% = 820) c(97.5% = 1565)
38 9:24 AM 1947 c(2.5% = 1606) c(97.5% = 2318)
39 9:24 AM 4044 c(2.5% = 2933) c(97.5% = 4861)
40 9:24 AM 3696 c(2.5% = 3048) c(97.5% = 4661)
41 9:24 AM 1552 c(2.5% = 1065) c(97.5% = 2101)
42 9:24 AM 1750 c(2.5% = 1282) c(97.5% = 2601)
43 9:24 AM 1352 c(2.5% = 945) c(97.5% = 2227)
44 9:24 AM 1233 c(2.5% = 1007) c(97.5% = 1626)
45 9:24 AM 1718 c(2.5% = 1232) c(97.5% = 2170)
46 9:24 AM 2473 c(2.5% = 2045) c(97.5% = 2985)
47 9:24 AM 689 c(2.5% = 551) c(97.5% = 880)
48 9:24 AM 1670 c(2.5% = 1360) c(97.5% = 2041)
49 9:24 AM 2167 c(2.5% = 1766) c(97.5% = 2875)
50 9:24 AM 3350 c(2.5% = 2616) c(97.5% = 4062)
51 9:24 AM 1993 c(2.5% = 1666) c(97.5% = 2621)
52 9:24 AM 2657 c(2.5% = 2115) c(97.5% = 3200)
53 9:24 AM 1681 c(2.5% = 1211) c(97.5% = 2167)
54 9:24 AM 1172 c(2.5% = 749) c(97.5% = 1680)
55 9:24 AM 2078 c(2.5% = 1448) c(97.5% = 2809)
56 9:24 AM 3073 c(2.5% = 2240) c(97.5% = 3977)
57 9:24 AM 2616 c(2.5% = 1932) c(97.5% = 3275)
58 9:24 AM 4310 c(2.5% = 3173) c(97.5% = 5461)
59 9:24 AM 2176 c(2.5% = 1793) c(97.5% = 2680)
60 9:24 AM 1755 c(2.5% = 1439) c(97.5% = 2179)
61 9:24 AM 2445 c(2.5% = 1999) c(97.5% = 3169)
62 9:24 AM 1803 c(2.5% = 1223) c(97.5% = 2485)
63 9:24 AM 2587 c(2.5% = 1967) c(97.5% = 3218)
64 9:24 AM 1424 c(2.5% = 1039) c(97.5% = 1837)
65 9:24 AM 2095 c(2.5% = 1605) c(97.5% = 2647)
66 9:24 AM 4308 c(2.5% = 3317) c(97.5% = 5268)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions