Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 9:24 AM, 67 voters in 17 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 142,512 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 118,048 - 168,193). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 9:24 AM | 2043 |
c(2.5% = 1532)
|
c(97.5% = 2383)
|
| 02 | 9:24 AM | 3379 |
c(2.5% = 2520)
|
c(97.5% = 3910)
|
| 03 | 9:24 AM | 1855 |
c(2.5% = 1503)
|
c(97.5% = 2344)
|
| 04 | 9:24 AM | 1835 |
c(2.5% = 1499)
|
c(97.5% = 2429)
|
| 05 | 9:24 AM | 4621 |
c(2.5% = 3481)
|
c(97.5% = 5388)
|
| 06 | 9:24 AM | 1245 |
c(2.5% = 1031)
|
c(97.5% = 1528)
|
| 07 | 9:24 AM | 988 |
c(2.5% = 592)
|
c(97.5% = 1879)
|
| 08 | 9:24 AM | 4725 |
c(2.5% = 3531)
|
c(97.5% = 5547)
|
| 09 | 9:24 AM | 2454 |
c(2.5% = 1799)
|
c(97.5% = 2859)
|
| 10 | 9:24 AM | 2739 |
c(2.5% = 2217)
|
c(97.5% = 3428)
|
| 11 | 9:24 AM | 1176 |
c(2.5% = 949)
|
c(97.5% = 1616)
|
| 12 | 9:24 AM | 2018 |
c(2.5% = 1658)
|
c(97.5% = 2598)
|
| 13 | 9:24 AM | 1824 |
c(2.5% = 1494)
|
c(97.5% = 2406)
|
| 14 | 9:24 AM | 797 |
c(2.5% = 665)
|
c(97.5% = 953)
|
| 15 | 9:24 AM | 2463 |
c(2.5% = 1889)
|
c(97.5% = 2849)
|
| 16 | 9:24 AM | 966 |
c(2.5% = 756)
|
c(97.5% = 1382)
|
| 17 | 9:24 AM | 2258 |
c(2.5% = 1845)
|
c(97.5% = 2916)
|
| 18 | 9:24 AM | 1851 |
c(2.5% = 1521)
|
c(97.5% = 2141)
|
| 19 | 9:24 AM | 822 |
c(2.5% = 556)
|
c(97.5% = 1440)
|
| 20 | 9:24 AM | 801 |
c(2.5% = 614)
|
c(97.5% = 1127)
|
| 21 | 9:24 AM | 5266 |
c(2.5% = 4177)
|
c(97.5% = 6306)
|
| 22 | 9:24 AM | 3103 |
c(2.5% = 2396)
|
c(97.5% = 3776)
|
| 23 | 9:24 AM | 1619 |
c(2.5% = 1239)
|
c(97.5% = 2085)
|
| 24 | 9:24 AM | 1319 |
c(2.5% = 1071)
|
c(97.5% = 1605)
|
| 25 | 9:24 AM | 1337 |
c(2.5% = 923)
|
c(97.5% = 1735)
|
| 26 | 9:24 AM | 2011 |
c(2.5% = 1552)
|
c(97.5% = 2459)
|
| 27 | 9:24 AM | 2016 |
c(2.5% = 1455)
|
c(97.5% = 2643)
|
| 28 | 9:24 AM | 1034 |
c(2.5% = 809)
|
c(97.5% = 1488)
|
| 29 | 9:24 AM | 1056 |
c(2.5% = 874)
|
c(97.5% = 1268)
|
| 30 | 9:24 AM | 2148 |
c(2.5% = 1703)
|
c(97.5% = 2414)
|
| 31 | 9:24 AM | 1744 |
c(2.5% = 1305)
|
c(97.5% = 1964)
|
| 32 | 9:24 AM | 1650 |
c(2.5% = 1289)
|
c(97.5% = 2338)
|
| 33 | 9:24 AM | 1195 |
c(2.5% = 770)
|
c(97.5% = 2037)
|
| 34 | 9:24 AM | 3869 |
c(2.5% = 3195)
|
c(97.5% = 4628)
|
| 35 | 9:24 AM | 2369 |
c(2.5% = 1777)
|
c(97.5% = 3099)
|
| 36 | 9:24 AM | 3037 |
c(2.5% = 2510)
|
c(97.5% = 3501)
|
| 37 | 9:24 AM | 1068 |
c(2.5% = 820)
|
c(97.5% = 1565)
|
| 38 | 9:24 AM | 1947 |
c(2.5% = 1606)
|
c(97.5% = 2318)
|
| 39 | 9:24 AM | 4044 |
c(2.5% = 2933)
|
c(97.5% = 4861)
|
| 40 | 9:24 AM | 3696 |
c(2.5% = 3048)
|
c(97.5% = 4661)
|
| 41 | 9:24 AM | 1552 |
c(2.5% = 1065)
|
c(97.5% = 2101)
|
| 42 | 9:24 AM | 1750 |
c(2.5% = 1282)
|
c(97.5% = 2601)
|
| 43 | 9:24 AM | 1352 |
c(2.5% = 945)
|
c(97.5% = 2227)
|
| 44 | 9:24 AM | 1233 |
c(2.5% = 1007)
|
c(97.5% = 1626)
|
| 45 | 9:24 AM | 1718 |
c(2.5% = 1232)
|
c(97.5% = 2170)
|
| 46 | 9:24 AM | 2473 |
c(2.5% = 2045)
|
c(97.5% = 2985)
|
| 47 | 9:24 AM | 689 |
c(2.5% = 551)
|
c(97.5% = 880)
|
| 48 | 9:24 AM | 1670 |
c(2.5% = 1360)
|
c(97.5% = 2041)
|
| 49 | 9:24 AM | 2167 |
c(2.5% = 1766)
|
c(97.5% = 2875)
|
| 50 | 9:24 AM | 3350 |
c(2.5% = 2616)
|
c(97.5% = 4062)
|
| 51 | 9:24 AM | 1993 |
c(2.5% = 1666)
|
c(97.5% = 2621)
|
| 52 | 9:24 AM | 2657 |
c(2.5% = 2115)
|
c(97.5% = 3200)
|
| 53 | 9:24 AM | 1681 |
c(2.5% = 1211)
|
c(97.5% = 2167)
|
| 54 | 9:24 AM | 1172 |
c(2.5% = 749)
|
c(97.5% = 1680)
|
| 55 | 9:24 AM | 2078 |
c(2.5% = 1448)
|
c(97.5% = 2809)
|
| 56 | 9:24 AM | 3073 |
c(2.5% = 2240)
|
c(97.5% = 3977)
|
| 57 | 9:24 AM | 2616 |
c(2.5% = 1932)
|
c(97.5% = 3275)
|
| 58 | 9:24 AM | 4310 |
c(2.5% = 3173)
|
c(97.5% = 5461)
|
| 59 | 9:24 AM | 2176 |
c(2.5% = 1793)
|
c(97.5% = 2680)
|
| 60 | 9:24 AM | 1755 |
c(2.5% = 1439)
|
c(97.5% = 2179)
|
| 61 | 9:24 AM | 2445 |
c(2.5% = 1999)
|
c(97.5% = 3169)
|
| 62 | 9:24 AM | 1803 |
c(2.5% = 1223)
|
c(97.5% = 2485)
|
| 63 | 9:24 AM | 2587 |
c(2.5% = 1967)
|
c(97.5% = 3218)
|
| 64 | 9:24 AM | 1424 |
c(2.5% = 1039)
|
c(97.5% = 1837)
|
| 65 | 9:24 AM | 2095 |
c(2.5% = 1605)
|
c(97.5% = 2647)
|
| 66 | 9:24 AM | 4308 |
c(2.5% = 3317)
|
c(97.5% = 5268)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions